Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.027641 0.030265 0.032864 0.035626 0.038473 0.041316 0.044366
2025-01-12 0.022022 0.026209 0.030478 0.035128 0.040027 0.045015 0.050457
2025-01-19 0.017378 0.022476 0.027819 0.033767 0.040147 0.046739 0.054022
2025-01-26 0.015324 0.021203 0.027497 0.034615 0.042346 0.050410 0.059391
2025-02-02 0.013167 0.019584 0.026607 0.034674 0.043535 0.052859 0.063314
2025-02-09 0.010781 0.017496 0.025036 0.033842 0.043630 0.054020 0.065750
2025-02-16 0.009371 0.016421 0.024510 0.034082 0.044819 0.056288 0.069300
2025-02-23 0.007954 0.015218 0.023753 0.033988 0.045574 0.058027 0.072222
2025-03-02 0.006599 0.013974 0.022868 0.033686 0.046041 0.059403 0.074702
2025-03-09 0.005483 0.012938 0.022168 0.033545 0.046645 0.060889 0.077261
2025-03-16 0.004221 0.011575 0.020999 0.032802 0.046523 0.061536 0.078867
2025-03-23 0.003444 0.010807 0.020516 0.032831 0.047249 0.063095 0.081446
2025-03-30 0.002448 0.009679 0.019653 0.032531 0.047758 0.064594 0.084174
2025-04-06 0.001498 0.008443 0.018613 0.032027 0.048062 0.065911 0.086762
2025-04-13 0.000571 0.006840 0.016967 0.030710 0.047373 0.066074 0.088039
2025-04-20 0.000325 0.006533 0.017063 0.031528 0.049165 0.069022 0.092395
2025-04-27 0.000062 0.005855 0.016580 0.031584 0.050031 0.070894 0.095525
2025-05-04 NaN 0.004804 0.015461 0.030782 0.049839 0.071531 0.097244
2025-05-11 NaN 0.004331 0.015166 0.031013 0.050863 0.073540 0.100484
2025-05-18 NaN 0.003751 0.014646 0.030923 0.051477 0.075060 0.103155
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003134 0.013998 0.030632 0.051826 0.076256 0.105441
2025-06-01 NaN 0.002634 0.013487 0.030495 0.052345 0.077631 0.107915
2025-06-08 NaN 0.001971 0.012576 0.029779 0.052128 0.078133 0.109381